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In general, dividend amounts are not always predictable and tend to follow the ups and downs of profitability at each company. In the case of Harley-Davidson Inc, looking at the dividend history chart for HOG below can help in judging whether the most recent dividend is likely to continue, and in turn whether it is a reasonable expectation to expect a 1.8% annualized dividend yield.
Below is a chart showing HOG's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $70 strike highlighted in red:
The chart above, and the stock's historical volatility, can be a helpful guide in combination with fundamental analysis to judge whether selling the January 2016 covered call at the $70 strike gives good reward for the risk of having given away the upside beyond $70. (Do most options expire worthless? This and six other common options myths debunked). We calculate the trailing twelve month volatility for Harley-Davidson Inc (considering the last 251 trading day closing values as well as today's price of $62.27) to be 20%. For other call options contract ideas at the various different available expirations, visit the HOG Stock Options page of StockOptionsChannel.com.
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